We expect the USD revenue of the IT firms under our coverage universe to post a combined 1.9% QoQ rise in 3QFY18. Top-5 IT firms are expected to post 1.5-3% QoQ rise in USD revenue in reported terms (1.6-3.2% in CC terms) with HCL Technologies (HCLT) likely to lead. Mid-sized firms will see variation, with Cyient and Mindtree likely to lead (3% and 2.8% QoQ USD revenue growth, respectively). Crosscurrency movements were varied in 3QFY18, with the USD largely remaining flat against the EUR, appreciating against the AUD (2.7%) and depreciating against the GBP (1.5%).
The IT sector continues to face disruptive trends in terms of SMAC leading to cannibalisation of revenue, apart from pricing pressure in commoditised services, and automation. The IT industry body, NASSCOM projects 7-8% growth in IT-BPO exports in FY18 with the announcement coming as late as June 22, as against its traditional practice of providing industry growth guidance in February, owing to global uncertainty. We do not expect the industry to surpass this growth target and believe high single digit growth is realistic in the near-term.
On margin front, we expect a stable performance despite seasonal weakness owing partly to INR depreciation against key currencies including the USD (0.7%), EUR (0.9%) and GBP (2.1%), and partly due to operational efficiencies and automation. Among top-tier IT firms, we expect Tech Mahindra (TechM) to post 69bps QoQ margin expansion, followed by Infosys with 53bps expansion. TCS, Wipro and HCL Technologies are likely to see range-bound margins. Within our mid-cap coverage universe, we expect Mindtree and KPIT Technologies (KPIT) to post the maximum margin improvement of 224bps and 76bps QoQ, respectively aided by revenue growth and improved operational efficiency.
Click here to read the full report
We expect continuous focus on levers like utilisation and cost efficiency. On YoY basis, margin performance is likely to improve, with 6 companies of our 13 IT coverage universe likely to post expansion to the tune of 44-172bps.
About Reliance Securities
Reliance Securities, the broking arm of Reliance Capital, is one of the India’s leading retail broking houses, providing customers with access to equities, derivatives, currency, IPOs, mutual funds, bonds, and corporate FDs amongst others. The large array of financial offerings helps customers fulfilling their investment objectives on one platform. Focus on timely & error-free execution represents its core strength. Their best in class research offerings, high degree of compliance with stock exchange regulations, ethical business standards, & strong risk management capabilities; Reliance Securities positions itself amongst strong & innovative brands in the financial services space.
For more information please write in to email@example.com
Disclaimer: The author has taken due care and caution to compile and analyse the data. The opinions expressed above are only the views of the author, and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Neither the author nor IndiaNotes.com accept any liability whatsoever arising from the use of any of the above contents.